Targets and Progress Review - Australian LULUCF emissions projections to 2030

Australian land use, land use change and forestry emissions projections to 2030

This modelling report presents emission projections from the Australian land sector for the period 2013 to 2030. The modelling has been used by the Authority to inform the Targets and Progress review.

The results are from one of the suite of models used in the Treasury and the then Department of Industry, Innovation, Climate Change, Science, Research and Tertiary Education (DIICCSRTE) modelling exercise. The report was prepared by the then DIICCSRTE.

• Australian LULUCF emissions projections to 2030 - (PDF 4.6MB)

Underlying data for figures

• Figure 1: LULUCF emissions trends, 1990 to 2030 (xlsx 276KB)
• Figure 3: Net emissions from deforestation, calendar year, 1990-2012 (xlsx 280KB)
• Figure 6: Distribution of modelled initial above ground biomass density (xlsx 286KB)
• Figure 7: Confirmed deforestation on afforestation/reforestation lands (xlsx 317KB)
• Figure 8: Land clearing and farmers’ terms of trade, Australia, 1973-2011 (xlsx 331KB)
• Figure 9: Deforestation emissions, 2000-2030 (xlsx 281KB)
• Figure 10: Annual area of reforestation 1990-2011 (xlsx 281KB)
• Figure 11: Net emissions from afforestation and reforestation, calendar year, 1990-2012 (xlsx 283KB)
• Figure 12: Reforestation net emissions, 2000-2030 (xlsx 279KB)
• Figure 14: Historic forest management emissions and the FMRL, 2013 2020 (xlsx 278KB)
• Figure 15: Log volumes removed from native forests (xlsx 279KB)
• Figure 16: Historic native forest harvest areas, harvest areas in reference level and projection (xlsx 287KB)
• Figure 17: Proportion of total cropland area subject to no-till management, 1990-2010 (xlsx 291KB)
• Figure 18: Cropland management net emissions, 1990-2030, relative to 1990 base year (xlsx 266KB)
• Figure 19: Area of pasture fertilised, 1990-2010 (xlsx 264KB)
• Figure 22: Annual transitions between sparse vegetation and non-woody land (xlsx 286KB)
• Figure 23: Net emissions from fire in grassland remaining grassland (xlsx 280KB)
• Figure 24: Grazing land management emissions 1990-2030, relative to 1990 base year (xlsx 264KB)
• Figure 25: Deforestation emissions: sensitivity analysis (xlsx 281KB)
• Figure 26: Reforestation emissions: sensitivity analysis (xlsx 288KB)