Targets and Progress Review - Transport Greenhouse Gas Emissions Projections 2013-2050

Transport Greenhouse Gas Emissions Projections 2013-2050

This modelling report presents annual projections of emissions and activity for the Australian transport sector for the period to 2050. This report has been used by the Authority to inform the Targets and Progress Review.

The results are from one of the suite of models used in the Treasury and the then Department of Industry, Innovation, Climate Change, Science, Research and Tertiary Education (DIICCSRTE) modelling exercise. The report was prepared by the CSIRO for the then DIICCSRTE.

Underlying data for figures

• Figure 5.1: Projected road transport fuel consumption by fuel under the central policy
• Figure 5.2: Road transport fuel consumption by mode under the central policy scenario
• Figure 5.3: Non-road transport fuel consumption by fuel and mode under the central policy scenario
• Figure 5.4: Engine type in road kilometres travelled central policy scenario
• Figure 5.5: Road transport greenhouse gas emissions by mode under the central policy scenario
• Figure 5.6: Non-road transport greenhouse gas emissions by mode under the central policy scenario
• Figure 5.7: Transport sector greenhouse gas emissions under the central policy scenario
• Figure 5.8: Projected road transport fuel consumption by fuel under the low carbon price scenario
• Figure 5.9: Non-road transport fuel consumption by fuel and mode low carbon price scenario
• Figure 5.10: Engine type in road kilometres travelled low carbon price scenario
• Figure 5.11: Road transport greenhouse gas emissions by mode under the low carbon price
• Figure 5.12: Non-road transport greenhouse gas emissions by mode under low carbon price scenario
• Figure 5.13: Transport sector greenhouse gas emissions under the low carbon price and central policy scenarios
• Figure 5.14: Projected road transport fuel consumption by fuel under high carbon price scenario
• Figure 5.15: Non-road transport fuel consumption by fuel and mode high carbon price scenario
• Figure 5.16: Engine type in road kilometres travelled high carbon price scenario
• Figure 5.17: Road transport greenhouse gas emissions by mode high carbon price scenario
• Figure 5.18: Non-road transport greenhouse gas emissions by mode high carbon price scenario
• Figure 5.19: Transport sector greenhouse gas emissions high carbon price and central policy scenarios
• Figure 5.20: Projected road transport fuel consumption by fuel no carbon price scenario
• Figure 5.21: Non-road transport fuel consumption by fuel and mode no carbon price scenario
• Figure 5.22: Engine type in road kilometres travelled no carbon price scenario
• Figure 5.23: Road transport greenhouse gas emissions by mode no carbon price scenario
• Figure 5.24: Non-road transport greenhouse gas emissions by mode no carbon price scenario
• Figure 5.25: Transport sector greenhouse gas emissions under no carbon price and central policy scenario
• Figure 6.1: Engine type in road kilometres travelled minimum efficiency sensitivity
• Figure 6.2: Comparison share of alternative drivetrains central policy and minimum efficiency
• Figure 6.3: Road sector greenhouse gas emissions central policy and minimum efficiency
• Figure 6.4: Projected road transport fuel consumption by fuel no carbon price on heavy vehicles
• Figure 6.5: Low emission fuel use central policy and no carbon price on heavy vehicles
• Figure 6.6: Alternative drivetrain vehicle central policy and no carbon price heavy vehicles
• Figure 6.7: Road sector greenhouse gas emissions central policy and no carbon price heavy vehicles
• Figure 6.8: Engine type in road kilometres travelled high oil sensitivity
• Figure 6.9: Alternative drivetrain vehicle uptake central policy scenario high oil price
• Figure 6.10: Road sector greenhouse gas emissions central policy and high oil price sensitivity
• Figure 6.11: Engine type in road kilometres travelled low oil price sensitivity
• Figure 6.12: Alternative drivetrain vehicle uptake central policy and low oil price
• Figure 6.13: Road sector greenhouse gas emissions central policy and low oil price
• Figure 6.14: Transport sector greenhouse gas emissions central policy and 2015-16 Emissions Trading Scheme